Open Source Intel 预测与赔率· 1742 个市场

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

7%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$137 流动性
10 天后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 交易量
$330 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

86%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
10 天后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$6k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

54%

2

$10k 交易量
$5k 流动性
10 天后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN Group A

74%

Liquid

$7 交易量
$10k 流动性
5 天后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOUD vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

0%

LOUD

$1k 交易量
$49k 流动性
大约 5 小时后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

53%

November 30

$17k 交易量
$605 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

86%

Anthropic

$62k 交易量
$19k 流动性
10 天后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$47k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

79%

September 24

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k 交易量
$16k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

31%

≤6

$809 交易量
$11k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$64k 交易量
$31k 流动性
10 天后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$227k 交易量
$29k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$16k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束