Open AI 预测与赔率· 423 个市场

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

6%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

42%

A Great Chaos

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 16 小时后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

16%

Yes

$275k 交易量
$28k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$103k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k 交易量
$31k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

80%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$16k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

2%

Yes

$313k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$111k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

90%

OpenAI

$100k 交易量
$23k 流动性
6 天后结束
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

56%

December 31

$489 交易量
$347 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$32k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

85%

Google

$112k 交易量
$32k 流动性
6 天后结束
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

78%

Alibaba

$62k 交易量
$22k 流动性
6 天后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

70%

OpenAI

$26k 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束