Open AI 预测与赔率· 422 个市场

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

21%

Diamant Esports

$42 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 18 小时后结束
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

33%

A Great Chaos

$0 交易量
$118 流动性
2 天后结束
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

58%

aimclub

$361 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 12 小时后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

Yes

$271k 交易量
$28k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$113k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k 交易量
$29k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

80%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$20k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k 交易量
$771k 流动性
4
超过 3 年后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

52%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

59%

Google

$21k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$8k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束