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Model 预测与赔率· 244 个市场

W

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量

$1.4m 流动性

11 天后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$348k 交易量

$719k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量

$985k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$8k 交易量

$8k 流动性

2 个月后结束

W

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

52%

October 12–October 18

$61k 交易量

$14k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

52%

1450+

$13k 交易量

$16k 流动性

9 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

93%

40%+

$67k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k 交易量

$10k 流动性

3 个月后结束

S

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k 交易量

$7k 流动性

2

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$20k 交易量

$4k 流动性

10 天后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m 交易量

$12k 流动性

13

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$27k 交易量

$7k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k 交易量

$100k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$170k 交易量

$9k 流动性

2

W

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k 交易量

$28k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量

$20k 流动性

2

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

73%

Anthropic

$38k 交易量

$20k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$34k 交易量

$4k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

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