Model 预测与赔率· 313 个市场

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$352k 交易量
$668k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$982k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k 交易量
$11k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

50%

October 12–October 18

$61k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

52%

1450+

$13k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

72%

1500+

$81k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$171k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

94%

40%+

$67k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$20k 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m 交易量
$11k 流动性
13
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

46%

1575

$131k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

96%

Anthropic

$107k 交易量
$47k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

71%

Anthropic

$38k 交易量
$15k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

89%

No release by September 30

$109k 交易量
$26k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

86%

Anthropic

$64k 交易量
$30k 流动性
10 天后结束