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Model 预测与赔率· 246 个市场

W

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量

$1.5m 流动性

10 天后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$361k 交易量

$722k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量

$1.0m 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

92%

No release by September 30

$118k 交易量

$38k 流动性

10 天后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k 交易量

$8k 流动性

2 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m 交易量

$11k 流动性

13

大约 1 个月后结束

W

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

51%

October 12–October 18

$61k 交易量

$17k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

94%

40%+

$68k 交易量

$3k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$171k 交易量

$9k 流动性

2

B

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k 交易量

$6k 流动性

大约 20 小时后结束

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$81k 交易量

$10k 流动性

3 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

31%

1575

$132k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

73%

Anthropic

$39k 交易量

$16k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

N

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量

$18k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k 交易量

$101k 流动性

3 个月后结束

N

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k 交易量

$7k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量

$21k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

S

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k 交易量

$7k 流动性

2

大约 1 个月后结束

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