Macro Unemployment 预测与赔率· 201 个市场

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m 交易量
$28k 流动性
92
3 个月后结束
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m 交易量
$60.0m 流动性
🔥$218k 今日
1,037
超过 2 年后结束
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m 交易量
$2.1m 流动性
🔥$127k 今日
463
3 个月后结束
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.6m 交易量
$51.6m 流动性
🔥$102k 今日
441
大约 2 年后结束
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

82%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m 交易量
$178k 流动性
9 个月后结束
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$576k 交易量
$610k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m 交易量
$846k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

56%

Javier Milei

$699k 交易量
$250k 流动性
61
大约 2 年后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$74k 交易量
$560k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

60%

Bryson DeChambeau

$56k 交易量
$2k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

92%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$174k 交易量
$127k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

96%

Jon Ossoff

$153k 交易量
$19k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

30%

Other

$43k 交易量
$22k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

88%

Andy Beshear

$88k 交易量
$355k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
P
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

65%

Hana Ghassan

$54k 交易量
$65k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

$74k 交易量
$228k 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k 交易量
$50k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

87%

Olivia Chow

$187k 交易量
$152k 流动性
10
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

36%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m 交易量
$65k 流动性
3 个月后结束