Initial Jobless Claims 预测与赔率· 234 个市场

I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

54%

November 2026

$259k 交易量
$63k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k 交易量
$26k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

77%

Morgan Stanley

$67k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7
4 个月后结束
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k 交易量
$13k 流动性
21
6 个月后结束
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$461 流动性
2
5 个月后结束
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k 交易量
$2k 流动性
9 个月后结束
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

28%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
6 天后结束
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

67%

December 31

$26k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

34%

50k to 100k

$11k 交易量
$19k 流动性
10 天后结束
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$18k 交易量
$7k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

46%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$345 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k 交易量
$175k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

49%

0-1.0%

$54k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$552 流动性
8 天后结束
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
8 天后结束
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

31%

3.2%

$44k 交易量
$16k 流动性
8 天后结束
M
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$8k 交易量
$35k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束