Humanitarian Pause 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

27%

OpenAI

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

46%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$23k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
9 天后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

37%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$95k 交易量
$103k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
已结束
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$29k 交易量
$48k 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m 交易量
$246k 流动性
35
3 个月后结束
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m 交易量
$439k 流动性
🔥$321k 今日
593
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

3%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$878 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

28%

October 31

$67k 交易量
$39k 流动性
1
9 天后结束
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m 交易量
$830k 流动性
🔥$61k 今日
216
9 个月后结束
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

77%

October 31

$871k 交易量
$92k 流动性
🔥$197k 今日
49
9 天后结束
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

44%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$475 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 交易量
$83 流动性
已结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m 交易量
$11k 流动性
979
3 个月后结束
W
What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?
$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$25k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束