Fourth Quarter 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$226k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

50%

Other

$17k 交易量
$76k 流动性
1
大约 8 小时后结束
B
Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

50%

Party A

$33k 交易量
$40k 流动性
大约 8 小时后结束
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

90%

4.0–5.0%

$908k 交易量
$87k 流动性
17
4 个月后结束
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
7 个月后结束
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

63%

0-1.0%

$51k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$905k 交易量
$257k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
M
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$2k 交易量
$53k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k 交易量
$49k 流动性
9 个月后结束
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.0m 交易量
$44k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束
B
Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Soccer · Sports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

98%

Bayern Munich

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
8 个月后结束
F
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

96%

Yes

$727 交易量
$8k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$673 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$141 流动性
1
7 个月后结束
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$20k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
S
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k 交易量
$36k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Republican 10-15%

$5k 交易量
$35k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$92k 交易量
$9k 流动性
1
5 个月后结束
I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

93%

Chris McGowan (R)

$36k 交易量
$34k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束