Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 113 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$135 流动性
9 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

10%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$243 流动性
9 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Mark Carney

$64k 交易量
$547k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 天后结束
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$1k 交易量
$904 流动性
4 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$5k 交易量
$637 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$220k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

14%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$612 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

34%

1575

$132k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k 交易量
$14k 流动性
8 天后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 交易量
$183 流动性
4 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

88%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$27k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k 交易量
$16k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束