Chatgpt 预测与赔率· 112 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

54%

2

$11k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$134 流动性
9 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

11%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$139 流动性
9 天后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$65k 交易量
$567k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
#
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
#
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%

Reserved app 1

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$5k 交易量
$479 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

38%

1560

$222k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m 交易量
$994k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

12%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$580 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1575

$132k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k 交易量
$21k 流动性
8 天后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 交易量
$194 流动性
4 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k 交易量
$15k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

88%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k 交易量
$13k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束