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Artificial General Intelligence 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

W

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

89%

NATO

$73k 交易量

$35k 流动性

2

大约 14 小时后结束

W

Culture·Israel

What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

91%

Nuclear

$11k 交易量

$8k 流动性

3 天后结束

O

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$267k 交易量

$23k 流动性

30

3 个月后结束

C

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 交易量

$280 流动性

3 个月后结束

O

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量

$1k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

O

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2k 交易量

$2k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k 交易量

$4k 流动性

3 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$35k 交易量

$4k 流动性

1

3 个月后结束

T

Politics·Trump

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k 交易量

$16k 流动性

2

9 天后结束

W

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 交易量

$395 流动性

3 个月后结束

U

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

9%

Yes

$34k 交易量

$23k 流动性

3 个月后结束

T

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

42%

December 31

$2k 交易量

$1k 流动性

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k 交易量

$6k 流动性

2 个月后结束

T

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量

$2k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

53%

Anthropic

$26k 交易量

$9k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

T

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$42k 交易量

$7k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

U

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k 交易量

$5k 流动性

4

3 个月后结束

A

AI bubble burst by...?

11%

Yes

$3.0m 交易量

$25k 流动性

97

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

69%

Anthropic

$88k 交易量

$27k 流动性

8 天后结束

W

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$65k 交易量

$70k 流动性

2

大约 1 个月后结束

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