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Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 118 个市场

W

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

$23k 交易量

$16k 流动性

2

3 天后结束

W

Culture·Israel

What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

94%

Antisemitic / Antisemitism

$6k 交易量

$4k 流动性

1

5 天后结束

T

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k 交易量

$528k 流动性

9

3 个月后结束

W

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

96%

Money

$1k 交易量

$2k 流动性

4 天后结束

W

What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$823 交易量

$2k 流动性

5 天后结束

W

What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$955 交易量

$2k 流动性

4 天后结束

O

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

38%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量

$1k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

O

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 交易量

$1k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

O

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$264k 交易量

$22k 流动性

30

3 个月后结束

W

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k 交易量

$52k 流动性

2

大约 1 个月后结束

C

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 交易量

$305 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量

$5k 流动性

1

大约 1 个月后结束

A

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k 交易量

$1k 流动性

1

大约 1 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量

$10k 流动性

2 个月后结束

T

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量

$6k 流动性

2 个月后结束

A

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 交易量

$3k 流动性

超过 2 年后结束

W

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量

$7k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

51%

OpenAI

$4k 交易量

$4k 流动性

2 个月后结束

T

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量

$12k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量

$12k 流动性

2 个月后结束

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