Artifical Intelligence 预测与赔率· 120 个市场

W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

88%

NATO

$70k 交易量
$37k 流动性
2
大约 17 小时后结束
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Mark Carney

$64k 交易量
$575k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

28%

Helicopter

$6k 交易量
$220 流动性
3
已结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

92%

Iran / Lebanon 5+ times

$10k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 天后结束
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$1k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 天后结束
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

96%

Money

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1 天后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k 交易量
$22k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

37%

Google

$64k 交易量
$64k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 交易量
$542 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

25%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$225 交易量
$2k 流动性
超过 2 年后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

53%

Anthropic

$26k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$17k 流动性
2
9 天后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$42k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束