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AI Development 预测与赔率· 226 个市场

B

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$546k 交易量

$106k 流动性

10 天后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$361k 交易量

$692k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量

$1.5m 流动性

10 天后结束

H

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

43%

0

$130k 交易量

$82k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量

$1.0m 流动性

3 个月后结束

A

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

86%

December 31, 2027

$294k 交易量

$21k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

W

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

52%

Hodge Conjecture

$171k 交易量

$21k 流动性

超过 1 年后结束

W

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

68%

OpenAI

$159k 交易量

$47k 流动性

10 天后结束

B

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

66%

Alibaba

$102k 交易量

$29k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

A

$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

10%

Yes

$33k 交易量

$2k 流动性

3 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

84%

Anthropic

$31k 交易量

$20k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

W

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$9k 交易量

$9k 流动性

2 个月后结束

#

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$8k 交易量

$9k 流动性

2 个月后结束

U

Politics·AI Regulation

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

10%

Yes

$136k 交易量

$40k 流动性

3 个月后结束

S

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

OpenAI

$5k 交易量

$7k 流动性

2 个月后结束

S

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

56%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量

$15k 流动性

10 天后结束

O

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k 交易量

$3k 流动性

1

大约 1 个月后结束

T

Politics·Trump

Trump renames AI by September 30?

9%

Yes

$2k 交易量

$10k 流动性

10 天后结束

W

$Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?$

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

40%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$26k 交易量

$19k 流动性

3 个月后结束

U

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%

Yes

$24k 交易量

$19k 流动性

3 个月后结束

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