AI Benchmarks 预测与赔率· 225 个市场

B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$546k 交易量
$110k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$361k 交易量
$693k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
10 天后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

43%

0

$131k 交易量
$86k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

86%

December 31, 2027

$294k 交易量
$22k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

57%

Hodge Conjecture

$172k 交易量
$20k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

68%

OpenAI

$159k 交易量
$49k 流动性
10 天后结束
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

66%

Alibaba

$102k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

10%

Yes

$33k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

84%

Anthropic

$31k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

10%

Yes

$136k 交易量
$42k 流动性
3 个月后结束
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$8k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

OpenAI

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

56%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$16k 流动性
10 天后结束
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

40%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$26k 交易量
$18k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%

Yes

$24k 交易量
$18k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

85%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束