538 Approval Rating 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

82%

37%

$149k 交易量
$26k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

Trump approval rating on September 25?

47%

37.5–37.9

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

9%

↑ 47%

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

5%

Up

$900 交易量
$421 流动性
1 天后结束
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

30%

September 15

$1k 交易量
$143 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$3k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

86%

Democratic Party

$482 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House control favorite on November 2?

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k 交易量
$75k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k 交易量
$51k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

75%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

11%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k 交易量
$159k 流动性
1
大约 2 年后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

41%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$47k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

38%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k 交易量
$20k 流动性
6 个月后结束
A
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

36%

2.75M-2.9M

$10k 交易量
$13k 流动性
6 个月后结束
C
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$720 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

30%

10M-10.4M

$5k 交易量
$27k 流动性
6 个月后结束
C
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

47%

1.2M-1.3M

$7k 交易量
$36k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 交易量
$107 流动性
将近 2 年后结束