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538 Approval Rating 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

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T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on September 25?

48%

37.5–37.9

$4k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Approval

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

71%

37%

$146k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

Politics·Trump Presidency

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

12%

↑ 47%

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

20%

Up

$670 交易量
$148 流动性
3 天后结束
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Politics·Primaries

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$440 交易量
$26k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Politics·Midterms

Senate control favorite on November 2?

84%

Democratic Party

$242 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House control favorite on November 2?

Politics·Midterms

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k 交易量
$31k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Politics·Primaries

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

78%

JD Vance

$2k 交易量
$39k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

76%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Politics·Midterms

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

14%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$15k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

51%

J.D. Vance

$20k 交易量
$177k 流动性
1
大约 2 年后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Politics·Senate

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$48k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

40%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k 交易量
$30k 流动性
6 个月后结束
A
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

34%

2.75M-2.9M

$10k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6 个月后结束
C
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Politics·Midterms

CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$670 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

28%

10M-10.4M

$5k 交易量
$28k 流动性
6 个月后结束
C
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

45%

1.2M-1.3M

$7k 交易量
$35k 流动性
6 个月后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

Politics·Midterms

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$27k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 交易量
$80 流动性
将近 2 年后结束
O
Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

54%

2M-2.1M

$12k 交易量
$82k 流动性
6 个月后结束

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