Volcanic Eruption Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

46%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$14 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$49 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

14%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

34%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

48%

80-99

$385 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

60%

80-99

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

23%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$688 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

No

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

No

$125k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?

60-79

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?

80-99

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended