Erupt Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

12%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$50 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$15 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

41%

0

$1.2m Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

9%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

50%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$8k Vol.
$130 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

Tesla

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

19%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$976 Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$781 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

97%

Allah

$6k Vol.
$523 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

27%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$812 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

52%

Sam / Altman

$6k Vol.
$155 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

31%

≤6

$775 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

27%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

No

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
I
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

All · iceland

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended