US Military Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

17%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$45k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%

Yes

$532k Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

60%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$119k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

14%

Yes

$939 Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

21%

Yes

$252k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

4%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$16k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

4%

Yes

$80k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$259k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

6%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

32%

CATL

$425k Vol.
$59k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

35%

Moonshot AI

$96k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$3.0m Vol.
$402k Liq.
🔥$229k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

5%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$14k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

$195k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$307 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$6k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year