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US Economy Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

AllPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1Interest RatesU.S. Presidential ElectionCaliforniaU.S. Presidential Election 2024U.S. ElectionEmploymentCultureStocksInflationUS EconomyLabor MarketJobsUS EmploymentUS ElectionUnemploymentUS JobsState Presidential ElectionFed RatesEconomyDNCMentionsBlsMacro InflationMacro Unemployment2025 PredictionsCPIRecurringEconomic PolicyUp Or DownDailyEquitiesTrump XiDaily CloseFinance UpdownEquity Daily PythSPYPyth FinanceTrump Speech
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Business

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

Finance·Equities

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

100%

$745

$33k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour
U
US GDP growth in Q2 2023?

All

US GDP growth in Q2 2023?

0.0%+

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US GDP growth in Q1 2023?

All

US GDP growth in Q1 2023?

2.0%+

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the next recession happen in the US?

All

When will the next recession happen in the US?

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

All

Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?

$105k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
November Inflation

Economy·Business

November Inflation

2.7%

$396k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended
D
Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

All

Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022?

$520 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
RNC Debate: Mention markets

All

RNC Debate: Mention markets

Hunter Biden

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
California Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$3.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
48
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in March?

All · us economy

How many Jobs added in March?

>275k (Feb #)

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will U.S. inflation be from June to July?

All

What will U.S. inflation be from June to July?

More than 0.0%

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

No

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
707
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in July?

Politics·Business

How many Jobs added in July?

100-150k

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many Jobs added in April?

jobs · us jobs

How many Jobs added in April?

150-200k

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
#
# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

Politics·Trump

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

<50

$326k Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
W
What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?

Culture·Trump

What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?

Ballroom

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: July 2024

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed Interest Rates: July 2024

No Change

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,516
Ended

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