US Canada Trade War Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

45%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

$106 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

$602 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

6%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

58%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$341 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

90%

December 31

$270k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
North American Cup T20I: Cayman Islands vs Bahamas

Sports · Games

North American Cup T20I: Cayman Islands vs Bahamas

49%

Cayman Islands

$0 Vol.
$358 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

200+

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$176k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

56%

200+

$831 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermuda

Sports · Games

North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermuda

51%

Bahamas

$0 Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
USMCA extended in 2026?

USMCA extended in 2026?

10%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Canada election called by...?

Another Canada election called by...?

18%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$313 Liq.
40
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

20%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in 3 months