Unrwa Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$70k today
210
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

37%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

31%

5

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

94%

Nuclear

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

45%

<2.75%

$597 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

39%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

9%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

45%

3.25-4%

$558 Vol.
$844 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

38%

6%+

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$378k Vol.
$52k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

57%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Iraq by...?

30%

October 31

$220 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

76%

4

$7.6m Vol.
$308k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$361k Liq.
🔥$161k today
293
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

98%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

40%

6.5-7.5%

$914 Vol.
$926 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

62%

<4

$6k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month