Unrwa Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$51k today
209
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

43%

6-7%

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

39%

4.75-5.5%

$2k Vol.
$826 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

69%

7-8

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

31%

5

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

57%

<2.75%

$597 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

47%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

10%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

41%

3.25-4%

$541 Vol.
$557 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

37%

6%+

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$378k Vol.
$53k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

61%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

76%

4

$7.6m Vol.
$313k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

74%

October 31

$41 Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$331k Liq.
🔥$238k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

69%

Yashar

$3k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days