Unrwa Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

19%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

45%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

28%

4

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

96%

Iran / Lebanon 5+ times

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

51%

<2.75%

$408 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

49%

6-7%

$1k Vol.
$620 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

17%

Yes

$860 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

30%

3.25-4%

$410 Vol.
$700 Liq.
Ends in 2 months
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

48%

6%+

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

14%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$30k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

57%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

76%

4

$7.6m Vol.
$270k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

25%

80-99

$105 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

99%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
$35k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

92%

September 30

$30.7m Vol.
$152k Liq.
🔥$204k today
292
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

40%

6.5-7.5%

$914 Vol.
$819 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

54%

4-6

$5k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month