Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

2%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$15k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.1m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
231
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$978k Vol.
$168k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$827k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$533k Vol.
$30k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$260k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$24k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

8%

Yes

$123k Vol.
$15k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

26%

No Talks by December 31, 2027

$3k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

4%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$20k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No

$794k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

No

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended