Ukraine Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

3%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

7%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$630k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$8.1m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$53k today
232
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$1.0m Vol.
$178k Liq.
60
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

8%

Yes

$827k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$533k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

12%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$282k Liq.
🔥$60k today
39
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$24k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

8%

Yes

$123k Vol.
$16k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

36%

UAE

$8k Vol.
$282k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

4%

Yes

$156k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$21k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No

$794k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

No

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended