Typhoon Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$58k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Tropical Storm Polo strengthens to a hurricane?

98%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

38%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

How strong will Hurricane Polo be?

71%

Category 5

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$340 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

33%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$38k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$330k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?

3%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

14%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JCL T10: Tokyo Dragons CC vs Sano Bulls CC

Sports · Games

JCL T10: Tokyo Dragons CC vs Sano Bulls CC

$56 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

15%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

27%

60-79

$24 Vol.
$917 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
F
FC Ōsaka vs. Tokushima Vortis

Sports · Japan J2 League

FC Ōsaka vs. Tokushima Vortis

48%

FC Ōsaka

$0 Vol.
$178 Liq.
Ended
I
India Tour of Japan T20s: Japan vs India

Sports · Games

India Tour of Japan T20s: Japan vs India

29%

Japan

$6k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

3%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

8%

Yes

$344k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months