Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$218 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

96%

September 21

$33k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

27%

October 31

$67k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

28%

October 31

$101k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

52%

September 30

$86k Vol.
$163 Liq.
Ended
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

64%

December 31

$30.2m Vol.
$422k Liq.
🔥$252k today
596
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$394k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

10%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$118 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$506k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$259k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

31%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$61 Liq.
Ended
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

56%

0-5

$45k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$16k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

49%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$468 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months