Transit Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

48%

25-29

$35k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

65%

<170

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

45%

10+

$33k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

16%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

20%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$18k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

93%

25-29

$41k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

65%

0-5

$40k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$703k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$226k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

54%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

73%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$899 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$521k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

14%

Yes

$387k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

39%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%

Yes

$11.9m Vol.
$487k Liq.
🔥$98k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$268k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 10 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Yes

$754k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months