Trade War Predictions & Odds· 200 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

19%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Sports · NFL Draft

Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

94%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$727 Liq.
Ended
W

CS2 · sport

Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?

6%

Yes

$487 Vol.
$218 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

67%

China 5+ times

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Packers game?

94%

Safety

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$273k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

28%

25–35%

$188 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

44%

December 31

$201k Vol.
$62k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$54k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$311 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

64%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$312 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months