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Third Quarter Predictions & Odds· 131 markets

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T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

88%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

65%

Alibaba

$47k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

90%

Meta

$93k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

62%

Z.ai

$67k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$58k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$24k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$44k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$17k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Q
Quebec General Election: Third Place

World·Canada

Quebec General Election: Third Place

50%

Party A

$14k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$31k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$61k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Politics·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

91%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$243k Vol.
$184k Liq.
🔥$74k today
2
Ended
B
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Politics·Germany

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

100%

AfD

$106k Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$57k today
1
Ends in 42 minutes
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

World·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

100%

Linke

$149k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ended

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