Tariff Predictions & Odds· 668 markets

U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$278k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

30%

5–15%

$458 Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

6%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

52%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

58%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$331 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

5%

Hormuz

$7k Vol.
$455 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

44%

December 31

$201k Vol.
$53k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

43%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$732 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

2%

Yes

$602 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

33%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?

5%+

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

No

$94k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

No

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Yes

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended