Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$228k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$159k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

98%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6k Vol.
$197k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

89%

39%+

$52k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

7%

Yes

$43k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$384k Vol.
$593k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Bulls

Sports · Games

United Rugby Championship: Munster vs Bulls

68%

Munster

$0 Vol.
$809 Liq.
Ends in 20 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

43%

4-6%

$9k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
U
United Rugby Championship: Sharks vs Leinster

Sports · Games

United Rugby Championship: Sharks vs Leinster

55%

Leinster

$0 Vol.
$269 Liq.
Ends in 20 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$312k Vol.
$131k Liq.
13
Ends in 13 days
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$125k Vol.
$181k Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$345 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

24%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$232 Liq.
Ended
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

93%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

47%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$101 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
M15 Baku: Jagmeet Singh vs Louis Allen

Tennis · Sports

M15 Baku: Jagmeet Singh vs Louis Allen

$0 Vol.
$200 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

43%

41-44%

$6k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days