Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

0%

Yes

$12.2m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$571k today
Ends in about 24 hours
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

20%

Yes

$13.6m Vol.
$444k Liq.
🔥$115k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

4%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
🔥$66k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

81%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$528k Vol.
$167k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

98%

0-5

$96k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$517k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

7%

10+

$43k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

29%

25-29

$24k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%

Yes

$102k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

28%

US

$50k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

27%

December 31

$3.4m Vol.
$109k Liq.
🔥$189k today
37
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

28%

October 31

$885k Vol.
$40k Liq.
49
Ends in about 1 month
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

99%

September 21

$156k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

4%

Yes

$985k Vol.
$42k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

23%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$47k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

53%

December 31

$1.4m Vol.
$148k Liq.
12
Ends in about 24 hours
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

23%

December 31

$9.9m Vol.
$33k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

100%

Nothing

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$177k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months