Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 139 markets

W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

98%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$78k Vol.
$66k Liq.
7
Ends in about 3 hours
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

93%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$28k Vol.
$100k Liq.
3
Ends in about 3 hours
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

82%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$13k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

92%

PL

$56k Vol.
$162k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

85%

PL

$298k Vol.
$139k Liq.
10
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

61%

PL

$118k Vol.
$260k Liq.
7
Ends in 13 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
O
Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

55%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$487k Vol.
$218k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Florida Senate Election Winner

91%

Ashley Moody (R)

$124k Vol.
$120k Liq.
8
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

31%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

96%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

68%

Ashley Moody (R)

$4k Vol.
$513 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

115-120m

$30k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$180k Vol.
$57k Liq.
41
Ends in 2 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

91%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
6
Ends in about 3 hours
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month