Sovereignty Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

3%

Yes

$190k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

4%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

2%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$21k Liq.
127
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%

Yes

$35.6m Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

1%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$49k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$331 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
U
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

5%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$24k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$326 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

5%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$580k Vol.
$586k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$5k Liq.
41
Ends in over 1 year
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

47%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

98%

September 23

$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 25

$2.8m Vol.
$465k Liq.
🔥$351k today
Ends in about 1 month