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Sonnet Predictions & Odds· 130 markets

C

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$25k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

June 30

$653k Vol.

$0 Liq.

62

Ended

A

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

xAI

$103k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

A

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Unknown

$350k Vol.

$0 Liq.

72

A

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

OpenAI

$239k Vol.

$0 Liq.

8

Ended

A

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba

$1.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

87

Ended

C

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k Vol.

$0 Liq.

36

C

Claude 4.7 released by...?

April 30

$359k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.

$0 Liq.

8

Ends in 3 months

C

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31

$681k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Tech·Anthropic

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$37k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Crypto·Claude 5

Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

No

$137k Vol.

$0 Liq.

8

Ended

C

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

1520+

$338k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

C

Claude Mythos released by…?

June 15

$3.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

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Next Claude Sonnet released by...?Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

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Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Sonnet released by...?