Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 288 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?

32%

200+

$10k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

50%

180-199

$39k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

73%

200+

$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

54%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?

50%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

17%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

74%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$197k Vol.
$185k Liq.
24
Ends in 4 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$247k Vol.
$239k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$19k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

94%

PL

$315k Vol.
$129k Liq.
10
Ends in 6 days
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

64%

UDMR

$34k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

93%

PL

$58k Vol.
$155k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

67%

PL

$119k Vol.
$239k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

86%

China

$2k Vol.
$895 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$38k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$183k Vol.
$45k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months