Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

28%

120-139

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D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

24%

120-139

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Ends in 6 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 29 - October 6, 2026?

20%

140-159

$490 Vol.
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Ends in 10 days
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

16%

Yes

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2
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C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?

30%

December 31

$2k Vol.
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U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

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S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

84%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

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12
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O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

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4
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W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

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9
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O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

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2
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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

74%

China

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O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

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N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

91%

PL

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10
Ends in 9 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

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L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

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14
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N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

91%

PL

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3
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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

50%

Scam

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W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

85%

USR

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3
Ends in over 1 year