Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

19%

200+

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

51%

80-99

$21k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

22%

140-159

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22 Vol.
$215 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

41%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$152k Vol.
$105k Liq.
6
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

0%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$217k Vol.
$55k Liq.
7
Ended
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

84%

PL

$303k Vol.
$263k Liq.
10
Ends in 11 days
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$239k Vol.
$226k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$27k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$34k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

$28k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

97%

New People (NL)

$22k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

99%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$40k Vol.
$108k Liq.
2
Ended
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$15k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

92%

PL

$56k Vol.
$238k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

65%

PL

$119k Vol.
$331k Liq.
7
Ends in 11 days