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Senate Midterms Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpElectionsDemocratic PartyUnited StatesDepec US ElectionsCongressUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsSenatePollingSherrod BrownMargin Of VictoryTurnoutParlaysMidtermsEarn 4%MidtermHouse ElectionsOhio MidtermAlaska MidtermGeorgia MidtermIllinois MidtermIowa MidtermKansas MidtermMichigan MidtermNebraska MidtermTexas MidtermSenate MidtermsMain ElectionSenate RacesJames TalaricoUSA ElectionMidterm MOVAbdul El SayedTroy JacksonJosh TurekAshley HinsonJon OssoffMike CollinsDan OsbornPete RickettsMary PeltolaMaine SenateAdam HamiltonRoger Marshall
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Politics·Senate

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
150
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Politics·Parent For Derivative

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$117k today
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Elections·Parlays

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

Politics·Midterms

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

34%

47–49 and 193–207

$41k Vol.
$163k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·United States

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.6m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$161k today
305
Ends in 3 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Politics·Senate

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

41%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

Politics·Senate

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

70%

Iowa

$947 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$72k Vol.
$188k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

46%

Florida (Special)

$9k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Politics·Senate

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

$50k Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

Politics·Midterms

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

96%

Yes

$169 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

76%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Politics·Congress

Blue wave in 2026?

88%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$18k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Blue tsunami in 2026?

54%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Elections·Midterms

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

40%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$344k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Politics·democratic party

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

60%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

40%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Politics·US Election

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$487 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

31%

10M-10.4M

$5k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

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Popular Senate Midterms Predictions

Alaska Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election WinnerNorth Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election WinnerIdaho Senate Election WinnerDelaware Senate Election WinnerKansas Senate Election WinnerNebraska Senate Election Winner Mississippi Senate Election Winner

New Senate Midterms Predictions

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Denton County WinnerAlaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Minnesota Senate Election Margin of VictoryFlorida Senate Election: Broward County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Fort Bend County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Collin County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Tarrant County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Kent County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Genesee County WinnerFlorida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County WinnerMassachusetts Senate Election: TurnoutTexas Senate Election: TurnoutVirginia Senate Election: Turnout