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Senate Midterms Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

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W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Politics·Senate

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$50k today
149
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Politics·Parent For Derivative

Which party will win the House in 2026?

94%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$105k today
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Elections·Parlays

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

Politics·Midterms

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

34%

47–49 and 193–207

$41k Vol.
$156k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·United States

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.5m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$144k today
304
Ends in 3 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Politics·Senate

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

Politics·Senate

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

70%

Iowa

$947 Vol.
$358 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$71k Vol.
$197k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

23%

Iowa

$8k Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Politics·Senate

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

$50k Vol.
$214k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

Politics·Midterms

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

96%

Yes

$169 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

75%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Politics·Congress

Blue wave in 2026?

88%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$14k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Blue tsunami in 2026?

54%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Elections·Midterms

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

40%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$344k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Politics·democratic party

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

62%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Politics·Senate

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

25%

October 31

$1k Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

39%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Politics·US Election

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$528 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

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Popular Senate Midterms Predictions

Michigan Senate Election WinnerAlaska Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election WinnerNorth Carolina Senate Election WinnerNebraska Senate Election Winner South Carolina Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election WinnerMississippi Senate Election WinnerNew Hampshire Senate Election WinnerKansas Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory

New Senate Midterms Predictions

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Denton County WinnerAlaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Minnesota Senate Election Margin of VictoryFlorida Senate Election: Broward County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Fort Bend County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Collin County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Tarrant County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Kent County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Genesee County WinnerFlorida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County WinnerMassachusetts Senate Election: TurnoutTexas Senate Election: TurnoutVirginia Senate Election: Turnout