Senate Midterms Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$762k Liq.
🔥$132k today
144
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$105k today
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
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H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

32%

47–49 and 193–207

$40k Vol.
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3
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B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$229k today
297
Ends in 3 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

39%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
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G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$852 Vol.
$572 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

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W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

77%

Texas

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W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

19%

Texas

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F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

96%

Yes

$169 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

78%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$70k Vol.
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13
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

53%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

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2
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R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

38%

≤47

$3.0m Vol.
$347k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

61%

Yes

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1
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I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

40%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k Vol.
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Ends in 6 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$565 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

28%

10M-10.4M

$5k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 6 months