Satoshi Nakamoto Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

97%

Nothing

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$21k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
A
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

1%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$23k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

3%

Yes

$5.1m Vol.
$72k Liq.
82
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Other

$463k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
W
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Other/Multiple

$44.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,295
Ended
W
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Not proven in 2024

$687k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
T
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No

$193k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
W
Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?

No

$425k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July?

No

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?

December 31, 2025

$44.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
187
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down

$25k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Down

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Up

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Up

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended