Satoshi Nakamoto Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

97%

Nothing

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
A
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

1%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$24k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

3%

Yes

$5.1m Vol.
$73k Liq.
82
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Other

$463k Vol.
$0 Liq.
40
Ended
W
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

Other/Multiple

$44.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,295
Ended
W
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Not proven in 2024

$687k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
T
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

No

$193k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
W
Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May?

No

$425k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July?

No

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?

December 31, 2025

$44.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
187
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down

$98k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Down

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up

$112k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down

$33k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Up

$84k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up

$228k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended