Identity Verification Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

S
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$20k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
E
Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

Sports · Esports

Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

50%

A

$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
W
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

47%

December 31, 2027

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$44k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$51k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

12%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

7%

Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

$63k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 11 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?

91%

MiniMax

$13k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

33%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$146 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

14%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$97 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$330 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?

Not proven in 2024

$687k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended
S
Shooter identity released by tonight?

No

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended
W
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

The Woman in Cabin 10

$156k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended