Blockchain Predictions & Odds· 168 markets

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

45%

Own Chain

$4k Vol.
$225 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

86%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

49%

Coinbase

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
Q
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

10%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

1%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$24k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

26%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$206 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

97%

Nothing

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
T
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by ___?

69%

March 31, 2027

$680 Vol.
$933 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$10 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
W
When will the Bitcoin halving occur?

When will the Bitcoin halving occur?

91%

June 30, 2028

$58 Vol.
$625 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
E
Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by ___?

56%

December 31, 2028

$730 Vol.
$497 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2%

Yes

$197k Vol.
$8k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$639 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump launch a blockchain before July?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended
W
Will Kanye West launch his own blockchain before April?

No

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended