Sam Bankman Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

W

Politics·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$479k Vol.$294k Liq.19Ends in 3 months

34%

Donald Brodie

$479k Vol.

$294k Liq.

19

Ends in 3 months

W

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

$59 Vol.$440 Liq.Ended

25%

Yes

$59 Vol.

$440 Liq.

Ended

S

Politics·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$465k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 3 months

2%

Yes

$465k Vol.

$5k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

S

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days

2%

Yes

$10k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

W

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

$11.4m Vol.$0 Liq.296Ended

Rudy Giuliani

$11.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

296

Ended

W

All

Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

$943k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$943k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

S

All

SBF jail by August 31?

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Yes

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

All

Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$3k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

All

Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing?

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

$241k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$241k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

S

Culture·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2025?

$358k Vol.$0 Liq.44Ended

No

$358k Vol.

$0 Liq.

44

Ended

S

Politics·All

SBF sentenced to life?

$159k Vol.$0 Liq.33Ended

No

$159k Vol.

$0 Liq.

33

Ended

W

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

$712k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$712k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

All

Will the first letter in SBF’s next tweet be “P”?

$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$2k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Yes

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

D

All

Did SBF launch BALD?

$53k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$53k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Crypto·Sam Bankman

Will SBF tweet again by Friday?

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended

No

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

3

Ended

W

All

Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?

$170k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended

No

$170k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended