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Sbf Predictions & Odds· 175 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoTrumpCourt CasesSBFLegal ProceedingsCrimeLegalChargesCultureFtxTrump PresidencySam Bankman FriedUp OnlyCrypto CultureCrypto Legal
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

25%

Yes

$59 Vol.
$440 Liq.
Ended
S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

Politics·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%

Yes

$455k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

Crypto·Crypto Culture

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

50%

Michael Saylor

$35k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
D
Did SBF launch BALD?

All

Did SBF launch BALD?

No

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SBF guilty of any charges?

All · charges

SBF guilty of any charges?

Yes

$242 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF testify?

All

Will SBF testify?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
S
SBF guilty of all charges?

All · legal proceedings

SBF guilty of all charges?

Yes

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who bailed out SBF?

All

Who bailed out SBF?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SBF jail by August 31?

All

SBF jail by August 31?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?

All

Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

All

Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21?

All

Will SBF plead guilty by August 21?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

All

Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

All

Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

$126k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing?

All

Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SBF get Adderall in jail?

All

Will SBF get Adderall in jail?

Yes

$181k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

No

$943k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

No

$712k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SBF released from custody in 2025?

Culture·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2025?

No

$358k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended
W
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

No

$241k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?