Sam Bankman Fried Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W

Politics·SBF

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$495k Vol.$364k Liq.19Ends in 3 months

22%

Donald Brodie

$495k Vol.

$364k Liq.

19

Ends in 3 months

S

Politics·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$465k Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in 3 months

2%

Yes

$465k Vol.

$4k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

W

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by December 31?

$59 Vol.$440 Liq.Ended

25%

Yes

$59 Vol.

$440 Liq.

Ended

S

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$10k Vol.$459 Liq.Ends in about 21 hours

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.

$459 Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

W

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pardon in 2025?

$11.4m Vol.$0 Liq.296Ended

Rudy Giuliani

$11.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

296

Ended

W

All

Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first?

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

S

Culture·Sam Bankman-Fried

SBF released from custody in 2025?

$358k Vol.$0 Liq.44Ended

No

$358k Vol.

$0 Liq.

44

Ended

S

Politics·All

SBF sentenced to life?

$159k Vol.$0 Liq.33Ended

No

$159k Vol.

$0 Liq.

33

Ended

S

All

SBF jail by August 31?

$4k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Yes

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

$943k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$943k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

All

Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023?

$3k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$3k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

All

Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing?

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Politics·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?

$241k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$241k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Crypto·Trump

Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?

$712k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$712k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

S

Culture·All

SBF reduced sentence because autism?

$185k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

No

$185k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Crypto·nft

Will Beeple's Everyday feature SBF and Diddy today?

$22k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended

Yes

$22k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

W

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?

$170k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended

No

$170k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ended

W

All

Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

$126k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

$126k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Politics·Memecoins

Will SBF launch a coin before April?

$568k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended

No

$568k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ended

W

Culture·Tweet Markets

Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?

$6k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended

Yes

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended