Safety Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$113 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

28%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

65%

↑ $6

$848k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$709k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

99%

$760

$598 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

100%

$770

$21k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

63%

↑ $160

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $0.80

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↑ 2.20

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

94%

↑ 120

$2.1m Vol.
$674k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

56%

↑ 2000

$642k Vol.
$41k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months