Safety Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$118 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

41%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$947k Vol.
$141k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

74%

↑ $6

$845k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$705k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$983 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

16%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$168 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 21?

100%

$745

$42k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

35%

50

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

96%

$750

$310 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

10%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$119 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

46%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in September?

75%

↓ 88

$16k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days